Post by Rockies GM (Dan) on Apr 25, 2019 14:24:17 GMT -8
Readying my predictions for the week, and I thought it would be fun to throw in an extra algorithm to figure out who is going to win this bet. Here's the results:
-- NL West --
Hollar wins: 56.818%; Rob wins: 35.068%; Hollar wins an average of: $14.10712 Rob wins an average of: $13.265
-- NL Central --
Hollar wins: 25.681%; Rob wins: 74.319%; Hollar wins an average of: $7.98029 Rob wins an average of: $16.09647
-- NL East --
Hollar wins: 3.171%; Rob wins: 95.91%; Hollar wins an average of: $2.34767 Rob wins an average of: $16.2564
-- AL West --
Hollar wins: 38.635%; Rob wins: 61.365%; Hollar wins an average of: $16.40584 Rob wins an average of: $17.62194
-- AL Central --
Hollar wins: 85.816%; Rob wins: 14.184%; Hollar wins an average of: $12.761 Rob wins an average of: $4.26616
-- AL East -- Hollar wins: 10.468%; Rob wins: 89.532%; Hollar wins an average of: $4.78301 Rob wins an average of: $12.69698
Overall
Hollar wins: 15.297% Rob wins: 83.635% They tie: 1.068%
Post by Marlins GM (Mike J) on May 6, 2019 3:16:15 GMT -8
Marlins now have 3 wins. Season projections were 3.68, so 1 more win and I exceed Dan, Hollar, and Rob's projections :-D or I go on an extremely embarrassing losing streak the rest of the season...
Post by Rockies GM (Dan) on Jun 30, 2019 16:01:17 GMT -8
I'm still keeping tabs on these. If there is an abnormally large amount of correct guesses by either of you, it could show some unconscious bias I baked into the algorithm. So far, on average, regardless of money, Hollar gets about 13 teams correct, whereas Rob gets 16, which is probably about where it should be.
This may be a fun and enlightening test for me next year - to do a month-long (30 teams in 30 days) analysis of each team, and let people vote on over/under. If the majority of people guess greater than 60% of the teams correctly, I'd have to reassess how stats are accumulated.
Padres GM (Amy): @hollah, that is truly brave work
Mar 11, 2024 5:47:59 GMT -8
Reds GM (Pat H.): Hi, my name is Pat and I'm addicted to fantasy baseball.
Mar 11, 2024 6:26:35 GMT -8
Padres GM (Amy): i tried to quit and we see how that went
Mar 11, 2024 6:27:33 GMT -8
*
Cardinals GM (John C): Quote from Amy: "Just When I Think I'm Out, They Pull Me Back In."
Mar 14, 2024 6:54:31 GMT -8
Reds GM (Pat H.): We will try Round 5 of the draft on Fantrax. You are able to fill your queue with players now. It doesn't start until Round 4 is over.
Mar 14, 2024 7:24:36 GMT -8
Padres GM (Amy): Pretty sure Yankees pick is invalid as Martorella just released
Mar 17, 2024 13:08:03 GMT -8
*