Post by raisingarizo on Feb 26, 2010 18:27:24 GMT -8
Here are my rankings of teams as of today February 26, 2010. When we first drafted teams on December 12th I explored rosters and made rankings that I never shared with anyone. Those previous rankings are below the current ones. After receiving your feedback. I will be revising the rankings on March 3rd and posting the revised rankings as the “Preseason Spring Training Power Rankings”. So please if you have time and can, than PM or post any feedback you want to share about my work and any teams you have differing opinions about. This feedback will be the primary tool for revising the current Power standings Projection. Thanks in advance, I hope you enjoy this stab at projecting teams and good luck to all!
February 26, 2010 Power Rankings
#1 New York Yankees (170 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #1
2009 Season Record: 103-59
Most Notable Offseason Acquisitions: Ryan Doumit, Chase Utley, Ryan Braun, Michael Bourn, Jair Jurrjens, Yovanni Gallardo
It's really hard to imagine the Yankees failing to miss the postseason in 2010, especially after a season where they hit .283/.362/.478 and scored 915 runs. However their pitching took a hit this offseason with the losses of A.J. Burnett, Javier Vasquez, Joba Chamberlin and the up and coming Phil Hughes.
The Yankees have some serious questions with their pitching rotation that still includes CC Sabathia, After that it is dicey; Jurrjens was recently examined for an injury that could have been devestating.Yovanni Gallardo, a definite talent, will have to prove that he is beyond injuries and ready to elevate his talent.
Gallardo is the key. No matter how much offense they have, closing out games could be tough to do with the loss of Mariano Rivera and at this point there is no suitable set up guy or closer in sight.
On the plus side the Yankees really have got the big-time offense that goes along with a solid pitching rotation. The hitting could be improved from last year.
At this point it is a decent bet to see the Yanks in the WS but it remains to be seen where they finish in the AL East. For some very demanding fans the Yankees season could be disappointing.
Of course disappointing for the Yankees is still better than most.
#2 Philadelphia Phillies (160 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #2
2009 Season Record: 93-69
Notable Acquisitions: Victor Martinez, Jason Bay, Grady Sizemore
A good 1-2 punch? Check. An aggressive offense? Check. A reliable bullpen? Um...Can I get a rain check?
The Phillies are a great team heading into the 2010 season, especially if Cole Hamels returns to his former-dominating, lights-out, self. Hamels and Cliff Lee are an intriguing pair of aces, however they've got the support of an offense that loses Chase Utley, Raul Ibanez and Jason Werth and has since replaced them with Jason Bay, Grady Sizemore, who might get off to a slow start and Victor Martinez.
As a group, the Phillies managed to score 820 runs and swipe 119 bases, which was good enough for second in the National League. They also ranked first in the NL in SLG (.447) and second in OPS (.781). The team, offensively, should be nearly as good heading into the 2010 season.
The Phillies, however, did have trouble with their bullpen last season.
Brad Lidge did save 31 games, but his ERA sky-rocketed to 7.21, and he blew 11 save opportunities. And with the news that he may not be ready by the start of the season due to surgery, the Phillies' bullpen woes could continue.
Add a slightly reduced rotation and poor bullpen with an excellent overall offense and your left with a serious contender again this year. Look for the team to win around 95 games and be tough in the playoffs.
#3 Seattle Mariners (159 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #5
2009 Season Record: 85-77
Notable Acquisitions: Chone Figgins, Alex Gordon, Orlando Cabrera, Rick Ankiel, Hank Blaylock, Johan Santana, Jered Weaver, Jeff Franceour and Luke Scott
This is my one bold prediction.
The Mariners may be the most improved team heading into 2010. I mean, when you add a speedy guy like Figgins, who can make things happen with his speed along with 2 absolute aces like Santana and Weaver good things are bound to happen. Despite the loss of Russell Branyan, Jose Lopez and Adrian Beltre these Mariners still managed to improve their rotation, their outfield and catching situations.
It may seem silly to some of you that Seattle is in the top 5, but make no mistake, this is a very dangerous team.
With "King" Felix Hernandez pairing up with 2 other aces in Johan Santana and Jered Weaver Seattle now becomes the favorite in the AL West. The Angels have lost too much talent, Texas is a few more pieces away from serious contention, and Oakland is stuck in a rebuilding phase.
Adding Chone Figgins (.298/.395/.393), a budding Alex Gordon, a healthy Hank Blaylock and Rick Ankiel really improves this team's offensive capabilities. Should the Mariners slide in Home Runs it will go hardly unnoticed thanks to projected improvements with runs, rbis, sbs and BA (anchored by Ichiro).
The question mark is whether they will be able to assemble a bullpen that is near last year’s success, starting with a healthy David Aardsma helps but the support and setup is severely lacking. The Mariners cannot buy any solutions ($5M under cap) at present and this creates a potential weakness. The other decline from last year is up the Middle, a problem many teams seem to have.
I say this to all serious doubters with the utmost confidence: "Beware the Mariner."
#4 Boston Red Sox (150Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #3
2009 Season Record: 95-67
Notable Acquisitions: Nate McClouth, Joba Chamberlain, Erik Bedard and Marco Scutaro.
Pitching wins championships.
The old adage will be true if Boston manages to stay atop or near the top in the AL East. No one, I repeat no one, wants to face a rotation of Beckett, Lester, Bucholz, Bedard and Joba. If Erik Bedard returns to his old self and Clay Bucholz pitches 75% of his potential this team will win the majority of all 1 run games. As if the Red Sox weren’t rich enough with pitching the depth they currently have is a solid staff unto itself. Their second rotation is headed by Dice K, Michael Bowden, Chad Gaudin and Junichi Tazawa. This added pitching could be important in having pieces to trade.
Offense will be key for Boston; sadly the team lost a lot of hitting with the departures of Jason Varitek, Kevin Youkillis, Jason Bay and others. Even if David Ortiz can somehow make a comeback, Boston's attack isn't as scary now as it once was. Offense could be a potential Achilles heel for them, but don’t forget they have the pitching to trade for a solution.
Expect Boston to make a run for the East, the Pennant and the Series. Just got to beat those annoying Yankees. To that extent the gap has been closed by this improved team.
#5 Colorado Rockies (140 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #7
2009 Season Record: 92-70
Notable Acquisitions: Nothing to report, except that this team is on the rise.
The Colorado Rockies were an interesting team last season. They reminded me very much of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde. One minute they were trapped in the cellar of the NL West, and the next minute they were competing for the Division Crown.
Guys like Troy Tulowitzki (.297 BA, 32 HR, 92 RBI), Todd Helton (86 RBI), and young stud Carlos Gonzalez (.284 BA, 13 HR) will continue to help this team moving into this season. I see Gonzalez as a 5-tool guy, with sky-high potential and Tulowitzki as one of the premier short-stop in the game today.
Despite losing Jason Marquis to the Nationals via free agency, the Rockies pitching staff, which had the eighth best ERA in the NL (4.22) and the most saves (45) should still be good enough to hold off or at least keep pace with the Dodgers.
#6 Milwaukee Brewers (135 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #19
2009 Season Record: 80-82
Notable Acquisitions: A.J. Burnett, Joe Nathan, Kendry Morales, Mariano Rivera, Tim Lincecum, Torii Hunter, A.J. Pierzynski, Carlos Gomez
The Milwaukee Brewers in 2009 were absolutely horrible at throwing the ball. The Brewers' pitching staff had a team ERA of 4.83 and opponents had a .268 BAA and a .795 OPS against them.
The Brewers staff was led by Yovani Gallardo, who managed to win 13 games and had an ERA of 3.73. Fast Forward to 2010 where the revamped Brewers offer opposing hitters a frustrating SP duo of Tim Lincecum (fresh off his 2nd consecutive CY Young) and A.J. Burnett who pitched like an ace most of last season. Their SPs will be greatly aided by a potent offense and a shut down bullpen. This 1 -2 is as good as any. So Brewers Pitching is now a big plus. There are blue chip rotation guys like former pitching prospect stud Ian Snell (now in Seattle) and Jeff Niemann who is solidifying his role as a Rays top young new pitcher.
The bullpen is all pluses right down to the change at closer. The Brew Crew went out and traded one of the better closers in the game with Trevor Hoffman. Bad, right? Well not when you add the very top 2 closers in the game with Mariano Rivera and Joe Nathan.
On offense, the Brewers are lead by the likes of Prince Fielder and Kendry Morales. Fielder hit .299/.412/.602 with 46 long-balls and 141 RBI. Collectively, the Brewers hit .263/.341/.426 and scored 785 runs. The only position player of any importance lost was Ryan Braun. However he will not be be missed because of the arrivals of Kendry Morales (what will he do this year?), Torii Hunter, A.J. Pierzynski and Carlos Gomez. In Gomez and Hunter the Crew now presents a bigger dimension of speed. Take out Gomez and the other 3 newbies will each hit 15 to 40 homers a piece.The Brewers can hit and now they can throw the ball well.
The Brewers are clearly the team to beat in the NL Central, remember that I called it (the biggest turnaround from 09’)]
#7 New York Mets (135 PTs)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #18
2009 Season Record: 70-92
Notable Acquisitions: Randy Wolf, Michael Bourne, Jairr Jurrjens, Mike Napoli, Jayson Werth, Brett Gardner, Carlos Lee, Jake Peavy
Lost: Johan Santana, Jose Reyes, David Wright, Carlos Beltran
No. 18? Really?
Let's face it; the Mets had terrible luck last season. They were an injury-prone team that struggled for most of the season. Losing Carlos Delgado and Carlos Beltran didn't help. Well GM Rio made some aggressive changes that will definitely help in the long run but this year remains to be seen. Because of the improbability of any team repeating the misfortune of injured players like the 2010 Mets it is safe to assume improvement and significantly in 10’.
The Mets finished 23 games out of first place and were outscored by opponents, 671 to 757. In order to crack the top 10 again, they're going to have to stay healthy.
The examination of the offense is a simple one. Can Michael Bourne, Mike Napoli, Jayson Werth, Brett Gardner and Carlos Lee make up for the loss of Delgado, Wright, Beltran and Reyes? The answer is an emphatic yes! Replace Reyes and Wrights’ steals? check. Replace Single Digit HRs from all 3? Check. In fact Jayson Werth’s 36 HRs from last year topped the totals of the departing Met hitters. Gardner and Bourne will both steal a bevy of bases (Jason Werth will chip in 15 to 20 for good measure). Granted Reyes, Wright and Beltran would have probably returned to their former production. Still in my opinion the changes in offense (not to mention the money saved) will work in 2010 and improve this team going forward.
Last season the Mets managed to hit .270/.335/.394 collectively as a team. They hit only 95 home runs. It’s not impossible that Carlos Lee, Jayson Werth and Mike Napoli best that total without contributions that will surely come from the remaining offense.
Pitching wise, they weren't much better. The team ERA was 4.45 (12th in NL) and opponents managed to hit .264 off of them. Team ace Johan Santana had 13 wins and an ERA of 3.13. Other than Santana, the Mets weren't too exciting to watch. I think the pitching will only slightly improve. The Mets basically traded Santana out for Peavy. They might run neck and neck. Expect to see the good John Maine. If Mike Pelfrey continues his ascent uninterrupted than the Mets are in for a great season. However I caution you to recognize that Pelfry saw the 4th biggest increase in innings pitched from the prior year. This might cause some temporary setbacks. All in all the pitching will slightly improve.
I'm no expert about the Mets, but I believe that they'll be better this year than last—if they stay healthy that is. If everything turns around for the best, look for the Mets to creep their way back into the top 10 once again. Although the Phillies enter with a higher ranking the Mets GM has closed the gap on the Phillies and could continue to do so during the season. Expect a fight between these 2 for the N.L. East.
#8 Los Angeles Dodgers (135 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #6
2009 Season Record: 95-67
Notable Acquisitions: Carlos Zambrano.
Heading into the 2010 season, the Dodgers really have 3 other teams to worry about in the NL West.
Despite losing Randy Wolff, a reliable starter last year, the Dodgers rotation should improve with Carlos Zambrano. In the event he does not stay healthy than they should still have enough left in the tank to at least compete for the top spot in the West.
Chad Billingsley and Clayton Kershaw are continuing their growing process and should only get better through time.
With Manny Ramirez, Andre Either and Matt Kemp leading the offensive attack, the Dodgers should be decent enough to make it into the battle for the West. This is because they owned the NL's best team ERA (3.41) and the NL's best batting average (.270).
There is a minor concern that Manny Ramirez is declining but overall the Dodgers will win like last year. That should be close with the Rockies who have improved through seasoning alone of their young players as well as the improved Padres and the rocking Arizona Diamondbacks.
#9 Los Angeles Angels (140 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #8
2009 Season Record: 97-65
Notable Acquisitions: Pablo Sandoval, Pedro Feliz, Franklin Guitierrez, Justin Verlander, Hideki Matsui, Ben Sheets and Trevor Hoffman
In 2009, the Angels offense carried them to the postseason. They led the league with a .285 team batting average, and were second in runs scored with 883. The Angels had a very potent attack, especially when the speedy Figgins helped the team collect 148 stolen bases.
But heading into 2010, the Angels are without Chone Figgins and have watched their former monster of a hitter, Vladimir Guerrero, go to the Texas Rangers to bat cleanup. The biggest loss of all is Kendry Morales, a player with big expectations for having a breakout season. However Franklin Guittierrez adds a nice 5 tool component to the offense and is due for a 25/25 season. The Angels always bring the best out of their players. There is no replacing Figgins or Morales of course
Yes, make no mistake that these Angels will have a tougher time winning the AL West in 2010.
The Seattle Mariners are skyrocketing in terms of talent, and the Rangers are a few clicks away. Sure, they've lost John Lackey to free agency and Weaver to the Mariners but they reloaded in exciting fashion with the additions of Justin Verlander, a healthier Ben Sheets and a shut the door closer in Trevor Hoffman.
The Angels clearly weathered the storm of lost players and actually improved slightly. One thing to expect, however, is that despite these losses, a Mike Scioscia coached and Scott General Managed team will still be more competitive.
#10 Arizona Diamondbacks (127 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #25
2009 Season Record: 70-92
Notable Acquisitions: Lance Berkman, Bobby Abreu, Alphonso Soriano, Jermaine Dye, Jim Thome, Francisco Liriano, Justin Duscherer
In 2009 the Arizona Diamondbacks looked like a team that could hang around with the rest in the West.
But ultimately, they were not much of a factor in the NL West at all. They finished 25 games behind the first-place Dodgers and weren't very good on offense.
Offensively, the Diamondbacks were led by Justin Upton (.300/.366/.532, 26 HR, 86 RBI), Mark Reynolds (.260/.349/.543, 44 HR, 102 RBI), and Miguel Montero (.294/.355/.478, 16 HR, 59 RBI).
As a team, Arizona hit .253/.324/.418, scored 720 runs, and swiped 102 bases (sixth in NL). Simple addition: Add to an already potent lineup; Berkman, Abreu, Soriano, Dye and Thome and if Mark Reynolds and Justin Upton continue their solid hitting, Arizona should blow the doors off offensively. They will rival the N.L.’s best lineups including the Phillies.
Although 2009 was a bit of a setback for the pitching staff, 2010 seems far more promising. With Dan Haren (14-10, 3.14 ERA) leading a rotation that includes Brandon Webb, Edwin Jackson (13-9, 3.62 ERA), Francisco Liriano and Justin Ducsherer, the D-backs should be a better team in 2010. They will fight both the returning division champs, the steady Dodgers and a revamped Padres team. I expect they will finish between the second two with a close game or 2 being the difference.
#11 San Diego Padres (126 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #23
2009 Season Record: 75-87
Notable Acquisitions: Placido Polanco, Nick Swisher, Jose Lopez, Ian Kinsler, Adam Jones, David Eckstein, Randy Winn, Kevin Slowey, Scott Kazmir, Chris Tillman and Joakim Soria
The San Diego Padres in 2009 were absolutely terrible on offense.
In 2009 the Padres were led offensively by Adrian Gonzalez (.277/.407/.551, 40 HR, 99 RBI), Kevin Kouzmanoff (.255/.302/.420, 18 HR, 88 RBI), and Chase Headley (.262/.342/.392). As a team, the Padres hit a horrid .242/.321/.381. They were outscored by opponents 638 to 769, resulting in a -131 run differential. However with the additions of Placido Polanco, Nick Swisher, Jose Lopez, Ian Kinsler, Adam Jones, David Eckstein and Randy Winn that will change dramatically.
Pitching in 2009 was slightly better for the Padres, who had the 10th best ERA in the NL at 4.37. Now that Jake Peavy is a member of the White Sox, Scott Kazmir will anchor the rotation which I predict will be the best in the West. The bullpen is headed by Joakim Soria and the setup guy Heath Bell, was 6-4 with a 2.71 ERA and 42 saves as a closer last year. This bullpen will rival that of the Dodgers and might even be better
And considering that the Padres finished 18-11 in their final 29 games, they should be able to win plenty of games heading into the 2010 season. How much they improve depends on how the offense performs early in the season.
My prediction is that they are in the division race up until the last week or days.
#12 St Louis Cardinals (125Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #4
2009 Season Record: 91-71
Notable Acquisitions: Josh Hamilton, Brian Bruney and C.J. Wilson
Will the loss of Matt Holliday do serious damage? Well I will answer the question with another question. Which Josh Hamilton will be rostered this year? Back and productive? Yeah, probably. But that doesn't change the fact that the Cardinals will go into 2010 with some weak positions and will have to rely on some bad players having some hot streaks.
With Adam Wainwright and Chris Carpenter the Cardinals have one of the best 1-2 punches in the big leagues. In fact, I'd put them pretty close to the top of the list of best duos.
Another good 1-2 punch came in the form of Albert Pujols and Matt Holliday. When Matt Holliday arrived in St. Louis last July, the team really took off. Now that Holliday is gone we could see a return to the 2009 pre-Holliday Cardinals.
The Cardinals have a legitimate shot at a championship, with a much improved bullpen and especially if Carpenter stays healthy and Pujols has another typical monster-like season.
#13 Florida Marlins (107 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #16
2009 Season Record: 87-75
Notable Acquisitions: Adam Dunn
The Florida Marlins were ranked No. 16 but do have the potential to move up in the rankings a spot or 2 if their pitching can improve just a little more.
Make no mistake, if they had some money to work with, they'd own the NL East. They finished just six games behind the NL Champion Philadelphia Phillies.
Florida was a top five offensive team in the NL last season, as they hit .268/.340/.416 and scored 772 runs. Hanley Ramirez led the team with a .342 batting average and 106 RBI. Ramirez is one of the most exciting players to watch and is highly talented at the young age of 26.
Florida's pitching staff wasn't too bad, either. On the year the staff managed to maintain a 4.29 ERA. Josh Johnson, the team's ace, finished 2009 with a 15-5 record and a 3.23 ERA. If the Marlins can upgrade their pitching staff just a bit or improve upon last season, they could have a shot this year.
My guess the youth of Cameron Maybin and company make this a better team this year than last.
#14 Texas Rangers (106 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #12
2009 Season Record: 87-75
Notable Acquisitions: Mat Latos and Colby Rasmus
Texas was quite the surprise last season. They finished 87-75 and were in contention for awhile, but ultimately fell apart the last month of the season. But with their recent moves, Texas is closing the gap between themselves and the Angels.
Adding Rich Harden, who had an off year and Mat Latos (replaces Scott Feldman), really helps the team's rotation. Historically known for the past decade or so for their offense, in 2009 the pitching staff managed to maintain an ERA of 4.38. With a rotation that includes Latos, Harden, Holland, Hunter and McCarthy, the Rangers are positioning themselves to challenge for a wild card. One possible problem could be Latos who saw the 3rd biggest increase in innings pitched from the prior season. Adding to many innings early in a pitchers career has historically caused setbacks. Fantastic bullpen to boot but somehow the Rangers have become a team carried by its pitching? Anyone imagine that the pitching in Texas would be bailing out the offense?
And with the losses of Josh Hamilton, Michael Young and Ian Kinsler the rest of the Rangers offense will need to constantly be hitting their strides, even with the addition of Colby Rasmus the Rangers offense will wind up being the reason why the Rangers don’t finish ahead of Seattle or Los Angeles in the AL West in 2010.
2010 Season Record: 83-79
#15 Chicago White Sox (104 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #13
2009 Season Record: 79-83
Notable Acquisitions: Matt Cain, Curtis Granderson
The White Sox finished 7.5 games behind the division champion Minnesota Twins, but they should finish ahead this season. This finish is because of a decline suffered by the Twins.
The White Sox have been particularly busy this offseason, as they've added underrated Juan Pierre, Mark Teahan and Andruw Jones in the hopes of improving their lack-luster offensive attack. This along with Curtis Granderson bodes well for the offense. They will have to lock up a more reliable catcher.
Last season the ChiSox hit .258/.329/.411 and managed to score 724 runs. Sadly, they were outscored by their opponents, 724 to 732, resulting in a -8 run differential. This year the offense won’t be too much better, but should improve slightly.
One bright spot for the ChiSox was their very solid pitching staff. Jake Peavy, who arrived last season via trade and helped lead a staff that had a 4.14 ERA. This year’s rotation includes Matt
Cain, Mark Buehrle, Gavin Floyd, John Danks and Freddy Garcia. Now Peavy has packed his bags along with Daniel Hudson. This should be okay because the staff can close ranks anchored by Matt Cain.
Looking ahead, I'd say that the Chicago White Sox will pass the Twins beginning this year. They will play much like last season, but they will also be in a weakened division.
#16 Toronto Blue Jays (103 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #24
2009 Season Record: 75-87
Notable Acquisitions: Madison Bumgarner, Scott Feldman, Asdrubal Cabrera, Hong Chih-Kuo, Franklin, Michael Young, Pablo Sandoval
The Toronto Blue Jays in 2009 were a disappointment considering they regressed from the 86-76 2008 campaign.
With Roy Halladay long gone, the Blue Jays really don't stand a chance in the powerhouse that is the AL East. At least not until their young talent matures into something big. Bear in mind they are far from pitching poor and could compete if they get off to a good start. The second half should see the benefit of added pitchers Madison Bumgarner, Scott Feldman and Hong-Chih-Kuo.
The Blue Jays have the hitting, because in 2009 they hit .266/.333/.440 and scored 798 runs. They were led by Adam Lind (.305/.370/.562, 35 HR, 114 RBI) and Aaron Hill (.286/.330/.499, 36 HR, 108 RBI). Hill has since been traded but the additions of Pablo Sandoval, Asdrubal Cabrera and Michael Young only solidify the future of their offensive presence.
Is there talent on the way? Yes. But until it arrives, Toronto and its fans are going to have to endure a year or 2 of waiting until they're back in contention again. However it is fair to expect some improvement and an overall better record this season.
#17 Tampa Bay Rays (101 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #17
2009 Season Record: 84-78
Notable Acquisitions: Brian McCann, Shin Soo Choo,
It's not fun being in the AL East. The Rays finished 19 games behind the Yankees in 2009 and failed to reach the postseason a year after their remarkable 2008 season.
With the Red Sox and Yankees only getting stronger, I don't see the Rays finishing atop the AL East. I do see, however, a team that is young and highly competitive.
The Rays as a team hit .263/.343/.439 and scored 803 runs (fifth in AL) last season. So it's no secret that they can hit the ball pretty well. On the pitching side of things, a rotation led by James Shields had a 4.33 ERA and held opponents to a .257 batting average.
If Shields can rebound from a mediocre 2009 campaign, and both Price and the newest member Stephen Strasburg put up quality innings with steady improvement then the Rays have a shot at remaining in contention. This is a must especially with the losses of Garza and Wade Davis. This team is good, make no mistake, but if they were in any other division, they'd be really good.
#18 Detroit Tigers (100 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #14
2009 Season Record: 86-77
Notable Acquisitions: Delmon Young, Kelly Johnson, John Lackey, Aroldis Chapman
Hello, Tigers fans. I have to say with some of the moves the White Sox have been making, you're the obvious beneficiary..
Not to say that the Tigers won't hit numerous bumps, because in the Central anything is possible, I just don't see them finishing first or right behind of Chicago.
The Tigers offense in 2009 wasn't that good—they managed to hit .260/.331/.416 and score 743 runs. Losing Curtis Granderson doesn't help their cause, either. The Tigers don't have as "potent" an offense as some seem to think.
The Tigers' strength comes in their pretty good pitching staff that includes Lackey, Porcello, Scherzer, Chapman (still TBD) and Bonderman. The team's ERA was fifth best in the AL at 4.29 and with Porcello looking like a young stud, the Tigers should have a pretty strong rotation in 2010.
Sure, they may not have that "potent" offense everybody thinks they do, but they've got pitching. Will it be enough? Will they manufacture a closer for their excellent bullpen? Who knows? One thing is for sure: in the AL Central, anything is possible.
#19 Baltimore Orioles (99 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #27
2009 Season Record: 64-98
Notable Acquisitions: Adam Laroche, Aubrey Huff, Adrian Gonzales
The Baltimore Orioles rank No. 27 for a reason: they had the worst pitching in the American League in 2009.
Sorry Orioles fans, but the birds really didn't do much last year.
The Orioles were led offensively by the likes of Adam Jones (.277/.335/.457, 19 HR, 70 RBI), Nick Markakis (.293/.347/.453, 18 HR, 101 RBI), Luke Scott (.258/.340/.488, 25 HR, 77 RBI), and Brian Roberts (.283/.356/.451, 16 HR, 79 RBI). As a team they hit .268/.332/.415 and scored 741 runs. As a result of being in the AL East, they had a -135 run differential. Now in 2010’ the O’s are betting that the likes of Adrian Gonzales and a few FAs, they usually stay away from, like Aubrey Huff will do the job. Well it’s more than a good bet and so expect a lot more runs than last year. It’s a fact that runs equals wins if the pitching holds up.
The Orioles pitching staff was horrific, as they gave up 876 runs and saw their ERA swell up to 5.15. In 2009 opponents hit .288 against the Orioles, which was the highest opponent BAA in the AL.
This offseason, the Orioles added veteran Kevin Millwood in the hopes that he could provide some stability in a horrible rotation. The Orioles also added veteran Derek Lowe, who could help the team greatly. Somehow the Orioles got older and it’s questionable if they will improve. Millwood has been inconsistent over his career. He gives innings and last year was great but you have to ask will the real Kevin Millwood stand up. Derek Lowe on the other hand is nothing if not consistent, however age may begin to play a factor. The opposite is how well will Brian Matusz pitch. He could be the ace by the all star break. Count on better pitching in 2010 and get set for 11’ and beyond as the farm system has lots of dynamic arms.
Orioles fans can look forward to 2010 and beyond while seeing more of the potential of superstar catcher Matt Wieters' during his first full season. Wieters has great power potential that could make him one of the best catchers in the game.
#20 Minnesota Twins (98 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #10
2009 Season Record: 87-76
Notable Acquisitions: JJ Hardy and Ian Kennedy
The Twins continued last year to be dangerous in the very competitive AL Central. It seems like every season that the Twins, Tigers, and White Sox are vying for the division crown and bragging rights.
But it was Minnesota that clinched the division last season but now are a long shot of repeating as division champs.
The Twins as a team had a .274/.345/.429 offensive season. They also finished fourth in the AL for runs scored with 817.
So, by simply looking at these numbers compared to their pitching statistics, one could say that Minnesota relies heavily on its offense.
Pitching was a bit of a problem for Minnesota last season as they had a team ERA of 4.50. Opponents also hit .278 against them. So, in order for Minnesota to repeat as division champs, the pitching staff will need to pick it up. The biggest reason the pitching will fall short is the departures of Kevin Slowey, Francisco Liriano and Joe Nathan. Ian Kennedy and a cast of young pitchers will do their best to win.
Could some big trades be in the works for Minnesota? Or are they going the way of youth. Overall they should decline slightly from the success of the past few years.
#21 Cincinnati Reds (98 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #20
2009 Season Record: 78-84
The Cincinnati Reds come into 2010 off a season where they won 78 games despite their performance on the mound.
The Reds' rotation, which includes Aaron Harang (6-14, 4.18 ERA), Edison Volquez (4-2, 4.35 ERA), Bronson Arroyo (15-13, 3.84 ERA), Johnny Cueto (11-11, 4.41), and youngster Homer Bailey (8-5, 4.53), disappointed in 2009.
Volquez, who just a year before won 17 games and had 3.21 ERA, was limited by an elbow injury. If Volquez can return close to his 2008 self, the Reds could see brighter days.
If Homer Bailey matures a bit more and reaches his potential, the Reds could make some noise and might turn in a respectable effort. The loss of 15 game winner Bronson Arroyo only hastens the burden of improvement needed by the youngster.
Despite the loss of Arroyo I predict the Reds' rotation will be solidified.
On offense, the Reds were led by Joey Votto, Brandon Phillips and gold-glover, Scott Rolen.
Votto hit .322/.414/.567 with 25 HR and 84 RBI for the year. Phillips hit .276/.329/.447 and 20 HR along with 98 RBI. Rolen, who's known for his defensive prowess, hit .305/.368/.455 with 11 HR and 67 RBI.
Collectively as a team, however, the Reds hit .247/.318/.394 and managed to swipe 98 bases. As a team, they ranked 15th in BAA, 10th in OPS and 13th in SLG.
If the Reds hope to improve in 2010, their entire team has to step it up a notch or two. The pitching has to come together, and the offense needs to hit the ball better.
#22 Washington Nationals (93 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #30
2009 Season Record: 59-103
Notable Acquisitions: Yadier Molina, Emilio Bonifacio, Erick Aybar, Freddy Sanchez, Ervin Santana, Gerardo Parra, Raul Ibanez, Brad Lidge, Jose Valverde, Gerald Laird, Mark Derosa
Well, coming in at No. 30 last year was the Washington Nationals.
They had a season to forget in 2009, as they lost 103 games and finished 34 games out of first place.
Offensively in 2009 the Nationals scored 710 runs and collectively hit .258/.337/.406. They were led by Adam Dunn (.267/.398/.529, 38 HR, 105 RBI) and Ryan Zimmerman (.292/.364/.525, 33 HR, 106 RBI). This year that lineup will improve because of Mark Derosa, Raul Ibanez and some other recent acquisitions.
The Nationals pitching staff can only get better with the acquisition of Ervin Santana and the upcoming future of prospects Luke Hochevar, Wade Davis and Sean West (Best 3 young guns in one rotaion for improving this year). It certainly can't get any worse than it was in 2009. The Nationals had the worst pitching in the NL with an ERA of 5.00 and an opponent OPS of .802. Wade Davis and Ervin Santana immediately improve the staff in a gigantic way. Blue chip young pitchers like Sean West and Luke Hochevar could make this a rotation to be reckoned with.
The Nationals will be headed for a good season in 2010 and will be better than the 59-win team they were last season. With one of the best farm systems in the league the future is bright.
#23 Oakland Athletics (92 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #21
2009 Season Record: 75-87
Notable Acquisitions: Travis Hafner, Bengie Molina
I fully believe that this team has a bright future. Oakland is slowly becoming more aggressive on the basepaths and are stockpiling highly-regarded talent.
Oakland's 2009 season was one to forget, as the additions of Matt Holliday, Jason Giambi, Orlando Cabrera and Nomar Garciaparra were mostly flops. The A's learned their lesson and have now moved on to greener pastures.
The A's young pitching staff had its ups and downs, but in 2009, two guys emerged as potential stars—AL Rookie of the Year Andrew Bailey (1.84 ERA, 26 Saves) and ROY candidate Brett Anderson (4.04 ERA, 11 wins). However it’s not meant to marginalize the great pitching talent on the rise. Watch out for improvements from Trevor Cahill, Gio Gonzalez, Vin Mazzaro and Josh Outman. In addition much like last year you can expect a top shelf relief corp.
The A's recently lost Matt Holiday and Jack Cust so any improvements from the pitching having a year under their built, will probably be negated by a pedestrian offense. Of course they can run some.
The A's pitching staff managed to put together a 4.26 ERA, and as a team the A's batted .262/.328/.397 and scored 759 runs in 2009.
Oakland's aggressive second half led to their stealing 133 bases, which was good for fourth most in the American League. However some of the speed has also gravitated elsewhere.
Although the A's lack big-time power right now, they've got talented young studs waiting in the wings.
The A's biggest strength heading into the 2010 season is their bullpen. It's led by Bailey, followed by Michael Wuertz, Joey Devine, Brad Ziegler, and Henry Rodriguez who will improve the spot vacated by Craig Breslow.
The A's may not be in contention for the AL West Division crown in 2010, but as soon as their big-time hitters reach the majors, watch out. The A's have a very bright future ahead of them.
#24 Cleveland Indians (91 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #26
2009 Season Record: 65-97
Notable Acquisitions: Matt Garza, Pat Burrell, Jorge Posada, Roy Halladay, Javier Vasquez, Phil Coke
2009 wasn't pretty for Indians' fans, as they saw their team lose 97 games and get outscored by opponents 773 to 865.
The Indians' offense wasn't too bad in 2009, as they were pretty much right in the middle of most offensive statistics. As a team they hit .264/.339/.417 and scored 773 runs (eighth in AL). They were led by Shin-Soo Choo (.300/.394/.489, 20 HR, 86 RBI), Grady Sizemore (.248/.343/.445, 18 HR, 64 RBI), and Travis Hafner (.272/.355/.470, 16 HR, 49 RBI). Now all 3 are gone and the Indians hope to fill their shoes with the likes of Jack Cust, Pat Burrell and aging catcher Jorge Posada. Cust is a career HR guy who strikes out a ton and is very unproductive for his 25-30 HRs he hits each year, Pat Burrell did not take off as expected with the Rays. There are question marks about the hitting. Will it be as good as last year? No not a chance.
Pitching in Cleveland for the 2009 season was downright hideous. The team's ERA was 5.06 (13th in AL) and opponents hit .280 (13th in AL) against them.
But that was 2009. This is 2010, and Cleveland, under new manager Manny Acta, would like to move on.
The Indians in 2010 will sport a much improved rotation that includes Roy Halladay, Javier Vasquez, Matt Garza and then several players who can pitch in the 4 and 5 spots that includes David Huff, Aaron Laffey, Fausto Carmona, and Anthony Reyes. If the Indians are to rise in the standings this season, they've got to win it with pitching. In their favor they are in a division often won by pitching. Their new 1-2-3 SPs could rival anyone’s.
Perhaps not really in it, the Indians will undoubtedley improve some this year.
#25 Chicago Cubs (90 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #9
2009 Season Record: 83-78
Notable Acquisitions: Jeff Baker (plus the departure of Milton Bradley)
The Cubs were quite the disappointment last season, weren't they?
Looks like last year again. But, with the Cardinals' recent loss of Matt Holliday, can the Cubbies keep up with their Red Bird rivals?
No, it’s too tough of a challenge, even with the Cardinals being a mid 80s win team. A better goal would be to surpass the Pirates and Astros.
In order to compete with St. Louis, Cincinnati and Milwaukee, the Cubs' pitching would have to continue its solid performance (fifth in NL with 3.84 ERA and second in QS with 94) from last year. However it looks like the Cubs are in the rebuild mode especially after losing Harden and Zambrano, Unfortunately the offense cannot step it up a notch or two. There is too much burden for the mix of young players hitting wise. Guys like Tyler Colvin, Sam Fuld and Micah Hoffpauir will perhaps work well down the road but right now there will be some bumps and bruises from the learning process. The same is true for some of the pitching.
The Cubs offense was definitely not worth writing home about last season, but I'm positive that in a couple of years the Cubs will be right there in the mix of things come future playoff time. This is because of a solid farm system and the integration of youth currently.
This might be a difficult year to watch.
#26 Houston Astros (87 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #22
2009 Season Record: 74-88
Notable Acquisitions: Jose Reyes, Kevin Youkilis, Andrew McCutchen, Mike Cameron, Clayton Richard and Jason Marquis
The Astros have a lot of work ahead of them if they have any shot at the postseason.
In 2009, the Astros were led offensively by Lance Berkman, Carlos Lee, Hunter Pence and Miguel Tejada. Berkman hit .274/.399/.509 with 25 HR, Lee hit .300/.343/.489 with 26 HR, Tejada hit .313/.340/.455, and Pence followed suit by hitting .282/.346/.472. However everyone of these players has been sent out of Houston. Granted the incoming players are younger, cheaper and have more long term upside but the next couple of years will be something of an experiment on offense. Gone is the 3 run HR game plan. In its place the Astros are committing to younger and faster players
As a team, the Astros ranked in the bottom of all major offensive categories. They ranked 13th in the NL in OBP. (.319), 11th in SLG. (.400), and 12th in OPS (.719). They did, however, manage to hit .260 as a team (eighth in NL).
Their biggest problems were in the pitching department. Wandy Rodriguez and Roy Oswalt man a rotation that saw its team ERA balloon up to 4.54 (13th in NL), and its opponent's BAA skyrocket to .275 (14th in NL). However the Astros helped themselves in a big way during the off season. The 2 aforementioned pitchers will no longer have to carry a staff. Astros fans let me introduce you to the new pitching rotation. Naturally it will start with Oswalt and Wandy but after that it changes. Here comes Jason Marquis, Clayton Richard, upstart Ryan Rowland-Smith, reclamation project Dontrelle Willis and veterans Andy Pettite and Vicente Padilla.
If the Astros want to stay competitive in 2010, they're going to need to step it up offensively.
2010 will probably end around 70-75 wins but watch out for the future of this club.
#27 Atlanta Braves (85 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #11
2009 Season Record: 86-76
Notable Acquisitions: Mike Gonzalez, Kevin Gregg, Vladimir Guerrero, Milton Bradley, David Wright
In 2009, the Braves were without Tim Hudson for much of the season, but once he returned he solidified a rotation that ended up with the NL's third best team ERA (3.57). Hudson finished the year 2-1 with a 3.61 ERA in 7 starts. So as fate would have it the Braves sent him packing in the first trade of the offseason
Javier Vasquez, a big part of the Braves rotation, is now in New York, the Braves will have trouble competing in the NL East.
Offensively, the Braves outscored opponents 735 to 641, giving them a +94 run differential. The Braves as a team managed to bat .263/.339/.405. And by adding David Wright and Vladimir Guerrero, who are both still powerful hitters when healthy, they should resemble last year’s offensive production; Brian McCann will be sorely missed.
Now for the pitching: The Braves made a series of unusual trades and Free Agent signings. They were able to improve their bullpen by adding 2 former closers in Mike Gonzalez and Kevin Gregg. However there are rumors circulating that these additions were signed for the purpose of trading. Who knows maybe packaged up to acquire a SP of a higher caliber. The Starting Pitching became less dynamic with the losses of Tim Hudson, Javier Vasquez and Jaierr Jurrjens. In their place the Braves have gotten younger. The best they can hope for barring a trade is that Tommy Hanson clones himself twice.
All kidding aside the same or better hitting can be expected from these Braves this year. The pitching will come undoubtbly with a lot of growing pains. Perhaps the future will be more meaningful.
Even though they finished seven games behind the Phillies and one game behind Florida, I see the Braves finishing at the middle to bottom of the NL East. While this Division has improved overall I think 80 wins is ambitious from Atlanta in 2010.
#28 Kansas City Royals (78 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #28
2009 Season Record: 65-97
Notable Acquisitions: Jesus Flores, Chase Headly, Miguel Tejada, Matt Holiday, Craig Counsell, Jason Vargas
In 2009 the Kansas City Royals had one bright spot—Zach Greinke.
Greinke won the 2009 AL Cy Young Award, with his 16-8 record and 2.16 ERA.
Heading into 2010, the Royals had some problems to address. In 2009 they hit .259 (12th in AL) and were ranked 13th in OBP. with .318, 12th in SLG. with .405 and last in OPS. with .724.
Offensively they were led by Billy Butler (.301/.362/.492, 21 HR, 71 RBI), David DeJesus (.281/.347/.434, 71 RBI), Miguel Olvio (.249/.292/.490, 23 HR, 65 RBI), and Mike Jacobs (.228/.297/.401). With Alex Gordon still maturing, it seemed the Royals had to settle with their anemic offense until someone revamped it or breathed some life into it. Well, we are seeing both happening. The additions of Tejada and Matt Holliday will revamp this lineup and the natural progression of Billy Butler should also breathe much needed life into the lineup. Only time will tell if A-Gord was too valuable to trade or if as it appears right now a brilliant trade was made by dealing him, possibly a lopsided trade in favor of the Royals.
Aside from Greinke, the Royals didn't have a stellar rotation. The team ERA was 4.83 (12th in AL), and opponents hit them hard with a .269 BAA (9th in AL). In 2010, the Royals would like Greinke, Brian Bannister, Luke Hochevar, Kyle Davies, and Robinson Tejada to improve things as a whole. Expect the same pitching challenges. The Royals replaced young pitching prospects like Hochevar with Shawn Marcum and Jason Vargas. I believe this will be a complete wash.
The Royals should show some mild improvement this year but temper your expectations.
#29 Pittsburgh Pirates (74 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #29
2009 Season Record: 62-99
Notable Acquisitions: Carlos Ruiz, Hunter Pence, Scott Podsednick, Kosuke Fukudome, Ryan Dempster, Joel Hanrahan and Kerry Woods
The Pittsburgh Pirates had one of the most miserable seasons in 2009, and for that I offer my condolences to all Pirates fans.
As a team, the Pirates hit .252/.318/.387 and scored only 636 runs. Led by Andy LeRoche (.258/.330/.401, 12 HR, 64 RBI) and Garret Jones (.293/.372/.567, 21 HR, 44 RBI), this band of cheap, affordable players managed to win only 62 games all season long. The lineup has improved and is more consistent throughout.
Pittsburgh's pitching was downright atrocious in 2009. The team ERA was 14th in the NL at 4.59, and opponents hit .276 against them. In the end, Pittsburgh was outscored by its' opponents, 636 to 768, resulting in a -132 run differential—ouch. You can expect about the same in 2010
The Pirates have a solid opportunity to improve overall by as much as 10 games from last year’s win/loss record.
#30 San Francisco Giants (69 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #15
2009 Season Record: 88-74
Notable Acquisitions: Aaron Hill, Robinson Cano, Phil Hughes, Alexi Ramirez, Daniel Hudson, Brian Fuentes, Adrian Beltre and John Buck
The Giants had the pitching. We all knew that. With the reigning NL Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum along with Matt Cain and former Cy Young winner Barry Zito heading the rotation, all the Giants would need now is some offense.
In 2009, the Giants boasted a team ERA of 3.55 and held their opponents to a low .236 batting average. The only problem, however, is the fact that the Giants only hit .257/.309/.389 themselves and scored only 657 runs.
It appears by all accounts that the Giants are rebuilding, at least with regard to their pitching. They gave up the triumvirate of Lincy, Cain and Bumgarner and traded them away.
The offense is an entirely different story. Although they lost their best hitter in Sandoval and their cleanup catcher Molina they took in a haul of young hitters. Of course the Giants get a boost from the addition of Aaron Hill, Robinson Cano, Alexi Ramirez, John Buck and Adrian Beltre. Still they need another bat or two in order to compete with middle of the pack teams..
Even if the Giants get another bat, they won’t keep pace with most of the NL Teams. They definitely lost the pitching edge —they have to concentrate on some offense.
Where is Barry Bonds? Even at this age he might have the most power on this team. Gotta love Bonds getting blackballed and continuously prosecuted despite more acquittals than John Gotti. Perhaps he will be allowed to at least introduce Palmeiro, McGwire and Clemens at their HOF inductions. Are the Giants cursed until the asterisks are removed or added to others? It’s not a goat but it has horns.
February 26, 2010 Power Rankings
#1 New York Yankees (170 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #1
2009 Season Record: 103-59
Most Notable Offseason Acquisitions: Ryan Doumit, Chase Utley, Ryan Braun, Michael Bourn, Jair Jurrjens, Yovanni Gallardo
It's really hard to imagine the Yankees failing to miss the postseason in 2010, especially after a season where they hit .283/.362/.478 and scored 915 runs. However their pitching took a hit this offseason with the losses of A.J. Burnett, Javier Vasquez, Joba Chamberlin and the up and coming Phil Hughes.
The Yankees have some serious questions with their pitching rotation that still includes CC Sabathia, After that it is dicey; Jurrjens was recently examined for an injury that could have been devestating.Yovanni Gallardo, a definite talent, will have to prove that he is beyond injuries and ready to elevate his talent.
Gallardo is the key. No matter how much offense they have, closing out games could be tough to do with the loss of Mariano Rivera and at this point there is no suitable set up guy or closer in sight.
On the plus side the Yankees really have got the big-time offense that goes along with a solid pitching rotation. The hitting could be improved from last year.
At this point it is a decent bet to see the Yanks in the WS but it remains to be seen where they finish in the AL East. For some very demanding fans the Yankees season could be disappointing.
Of course disappointing for the Yankees is still better than most.
#2 Philadelphia Phillies (160 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #2
2009 Season Record: 93-69
Notable Acquisitions: Victor Martinez, Jason Bay, Grady Sizemore
A good 1-2 punch? Check. An aggressive offense? Check. A reliable bullpen? Um...Can I get a rain check?
The Phillies are a great team heading into the 2010 season, especially if Cole Hamels returns to his former-dominating, lights-out, self. Hamels and Cliff Lee are an intriguing pair of aces, however they've got the support of an offense that loses Chase Utley, Raul Ibanez and Jason Werth and has since replaced them with Jason Bay, Grady Sizemore, who might get off to a slow start and Victor Martinez.
As a group, the Phillies managed to score 820 runs and swipe 119 bases, which was good enough for second in the National League. They also ranked first in the NL in SLG (.447) and second in OPS (.781). The team, offensively, should be nearly as good heading into the 2010 season.
The Phillies, however, did have trouble with their bullpen last season.
Brad Lidge did save 31 games, but his ERA sky-rocketed to 7.21, and he blew 11 save opportunities. And with the news that he may not be ready by the start of the season due to surgery, the Phillies' bullpen woes could continue.
Add a slightly reduced rotation and poor bullpen with an excellent overall offense and your left with a serious contender again this year. Look for the team to win around 95 games and be tough in the playoffs.
#3 Seattle Mariners (159 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #5
2009 Season Record: 85-77
Notable Acquisitions: Chone Figgins, Alex Gordon, Orlando Cabrera, Rick Ankiel, Hank Blaylock, Johan Santana, Jered Weaver, Jeff Franceour and Luke Scott
This is my one bold prediction.
The Mariners may be the most improved team heading into 2010. I mean, when you add a speedy guy like Figgins, who can make things happen with his speed along with 2 absolute aces like Santana and Weaver good things are bound to happen. Despite the loss of Russell Branyan, Jose Lopez and Adrian Beltre these Mariners still managed to improve their rotation, their outfield and catching situations.
It may seem silly to some of you that Seattle is in the top 5, but make no mistake, this is a very dangerous team.
With "King" Felix Hernandez pairing up with 2 other aces in Johan Santana and Jered Weaver Seattle now becomes the favorite in the AL West. The Angels have lost too much talent, Texas is a few more pieces away from serious contention, and Oakland is stuck in a rebuilding phase.
Adding Chone Figgins (.298/.395/.393), a budding Alex Gordon, a healthy Hank Blaylock and Rick Ankiel really improves this team's offensive capabilities. Should the Mariners slide in Home Runs it will go hardly unnoticed thanks to projected improvements with runs, rbis, sbs and BA (anchored by Ichiro).
The question mark is whether they will be able to assemble a bullpen that is near last year’s success, starting with a healthy David Aardsma helps but the support and setup is severely lacking. The Mariners cannot buy any solutions ($5M under cap) at present and this creates a potential weakness. The other decline from last year is up the Middle, a problem many teams seem to have.
I say this to all serious doubters with the utmost confidence: "Beware the Mariner."
#4 Boston Red Sox (150Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #3
2009 Season Record: 95-67
Notable Acquisitions: Nate McClouth, Joba Chamberlain, Erik Bedard and Marco Scutaro.
Pitching wins championships.
The old adage will be true if Boston manages to stay atop or near the top in the AL East. No one, I repeat no one, wants to face a rotation of Beckett, Lester, Bucholz, Bedard and Joba. If Erik Bedard returns to his old self and Clay Bucholz pitches 75% of his potential this team will win the majority of all 1 run games. As if the Red Sox weren’t rich enough with pitching the depth they currently have is a solid staff unto itself. Their second rotation is headed by Dice K, Michael Bowden, Chad Gaudin and Junichi Tazawa. This added pitching could be important in having pieces to trade.
Offense will be key for Boston; sadly the team lost a lot of hitting with the departures of Jason Varitek, Kevin Youkillis, Jason Bay and others. Even if David Ortiz can somehow make a comeback, Boston's attack isn't as scary now as it once was. Offense could be a potential Achilles heel for them, but don’t forget they have the pitching to trade for a solution.
Expect Boston to make a run for the East, the Pennant and the Series. Just got to beat those annoying Yankees. To that extent the gap has been closed by this improved team.
#5 Colorado Rockies (140 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #7
2009 Season Record: 92-70
Notable Acquisitions: Nothing to report, except that this team is on the rise.
The Colorado Rockies were an interesting team last season. They reminded me very much of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde. One minute they were trapped in the cellar of the NL West, and the next minute they were competing for the Division Crown.
Guys like Troy Tulowitzki (.297 BA, 32 HR, 92 RBI), Todd Helton (86 RBI), and young stud Carlos Gonzalez (.284 BA, 13 HR) will continue to help this team moving into this season. I see Gonzalez as a 5-tool guy, with sky-high potential and Tulowitzki as one of the premier short-stop in the game today.
Despite losing Jason Marquis to the Nationals via free agency, the Rockies pitching staff, which had the eighth best ERA in the NL (4.22) and the most saves (45) should still be good enough to hold off or at least keep pace with the Dodgers.
#6 Milwaukee Brewers (135 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #19
2009 Season Record: 80-82
Notable Acquisitions: A.J. Burnett, Joe Nathan, Kendry Morales, Mariano Rivera, Tim Lincecum, Torii Hunter, A.J. Pierzynski, Carlos Gomez
The Milwaukee Brewers in 2009 were absolutely horrible at throwing the ball. The Brewers' pitching staff had a team ERA of 4.83 and opponents had a .268 BAA and a .795 OPS against them.
The Brewers staff was led by Yovani Gallardo, who managed to win 13 games and had an ERA of 3.73. Fast Forward to 2010 where the revamped Brewers offer opposing hitters a frustrating SP duo of Tim Lincecum (fresh off his 2nd consecutive CY Young) and A.J. Burnett who pitched like an ace most of last season. Their SPs will be greatly aided by a potent offense and a shut down bullpen. This 1 -2 is as good as any. So Brewers Pitching is now a big plus. There are blue chip rotation guys like former pitching prospect stud Ian Snell (now in Seattle) and Jeff Niemann who is solidifying his role as a Rays top young new pitcher.
The bullpen is all pluses right down to the change at closer. The Brew Crew went out and traded one of the better closers in the game with Trevor Hoffman. Bad, right? Well not when you add the very top 2 closers in the game with Mariano Rivera and Joe Nathan.
On offense, the Brewers are lead by the likes of Prince Fielder and Kendry Morales. Fielder hit .299/.412/.602 with 46 long-balls and 141 RBI. Collectively, the Brewers hit .263/.341/.426 and scored 785 runs. The only position player of any importance lost was Ryan Braun. However he will not be be missed because of the arrivals of Kendry Morales (what will he do this year?), Torii Hunter, A.J. Pierzynski and Carlos Gomez. In Gomez and Hunter the Crew now presents a bigger dimension of speed. Take out Gomez and the other 3 newbies will each hit 15 to 40 homers a piece.The Brewers can hit and now they can throw the ball well.
The Brewers are clearly the team to beat in the NL Central, remember that I called it (the biggest turnaround from 09’)]
#7 New York Mets (135 PTs)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #18
2009 Season Record: 70-92
Notable Acquisitions: Randy Wolf, Michael Bourne, Jairr Jurrjens, Mike Napoli, Jayson Werth, Brett Gardner, Carlos Lee, Jake Peavy
Lost: Johan Santana, Jose Reyes, David Wright, Carlos Beltran
No. 18? Really?
Let's face it; the Mets had terrible luck last season. They were an injury-prone team that struggled for most of the season. Losing Carlos Delgado and Carlos Beltran didn't help. Well GM Rio made some aggressive changes that will definitely help in the long run but this year remains to be seen. Because of the improbability of any team repeating the misfortune of injured players like the 2010 Mets it is safe to assume improvement and significantly in 10’.
The Mets finished 23 games out of first place and were outscored by opponents, 671 to 757. In order to crack the top 10 again, they're going to have to stay healthy.
The examination of the offense is a simple one. Can Michael Bourne, Mike Napoli, Jayson Werth, Brett Gardner and Carlos Lee make up for the loss of Delgado, Wright, Beltran and Reyes? The answer is an emphatic yes! Replace Reyes and Wrights’ steals? check. Replace Single Digit HRs from all 3? Check. In fact Jayson Werth’s 36 HRs from last year topped the totals of the departing Met hitters. Gardner and Bourne will both steal a bevy of bases (Jason Werth will chip in 15 to 20 for good measure). Granted Reyes, Wright and Beltran would have probably returned to their former production. Still in my opinion the changes in offense (not to mention the money saved) will work in 2010 and improve this team going forward.
Last season the Mets managed to hit .270/.335/.394 collectively as a team. They hit only 95 home runs. It’s not impossible that Carlos Lee, Jayson Werth and Mike Napoli best that total without contributions that will surely come from the remaining offense.
Pitching wise, they weren't much better. The team ERA was 4.45 (12th in NL) and opponents managed to hit .264 off of them. Team ace Johan Santana had 13 wins and an ERA of 3.13. Other than Santana, the Mets weren't too exciting to watch. I think the pitching will only slightly improve. The Mets basically traded Santana out for Peavy. They might run neck and neck. Expect to see the good John Maine. If Mike Pelfrey continues his ascent uninterrupted than the Mets are in for a great season. However I caution you to recognize that Pelfry saw the 4th biggest increase in innings pitched from the prior year. This might cause some temporary setbacks. All in all the pitching will slightly improve.
I'm no expert about the Mets, but I believe that they'll be better this year than last—if they stay healthy that is. If everything turns around for the best, look for the Mets to creep their way back into the top 10 once again. Although the Phillies enter with a higher ranking the Mets GM has closed the gap on the Phillies and could continue to do so during the season. Expect a fight between these 2 for the N.L. East.
#8 Los Angeles Dodgers (135 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #6
2009 Season Record: 95-67
Notable Acquisitions: Carlos Zambrano.
Heading into the 2010 season, the Dodgers really have 3 other teams to worry about in the NL West.
Despite losing Randy Wolff, a reliable starter last year, the Dodgers rotation should improve with Carlos Zambrano. In the event he does not stay healthy than they should still have enough left in the tank to at least compete for the top spot in the West.
Chad Billingsley and Clayton Kershaw are continuing their growing process and should only get better through time.
With Manny Ramirez, Andre Either and Matt Kemp leading the offensive attack, the Dodgers should be decent enough to make it into the battle for the West. This is because they owned the NL's best team ERA (3.41) and the NL's best batting average (.270).
There is a minor concern that Manny Ramirez is declining but overall the Dodgers will win like last year. That should be close with the Rockies who have improved through seasoning alone of their young players as well as the improved Padres and the rocking Arizona Diamondbacks.
#9 Los Angeles Angels (140 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #8
2009 Season Record: 97-65
Notable Acquisitions: Pablo Sandoval, Pedro Feliz, Franklin Guitierrez, Justin Verlander, Hideki Matsui, Ben Sheets and Trevor Hoffman
In 2009, the Angels offense carried them to the postseason. They led the league with a .285 team batting average, and were second in runs scored with 883. The Angels had a very potent attack, especially when the speedy Figgins helped the team collect 148 stolen bases.
But heading into 2010, the Angels are without Chone Figgins and have watched their former monster of a hitter, Vladimir Guerrero, go to the Texas Rangers to bat cleanup. The biggest loss of all is Kendry Morales, a player with big expectations for having a breakout season. However Franklin Guittierrez adds a nice 5 tool component to the offense and is due for a 25/25 season. The Angels always bring the best out of their players. There is no replacing Figgins or Morales of course
Yes, make no mistake that these Angels will have a tougher time winning the AL West in 2010.
The Seattle Mariners are skyrocketing in terms of talent, and the Rangers are a few clicks away. Sure, they've lost John Lackey to free agency and Weaver to the Mariners but they reloaded in exciting fashion with the additions of Justin Verlander, a healthier Ben Sheets and a shut the door closer in Trevor Hoffman.
The Angels clearly weathered the storm of lost players and actually improved slightly. One thing to expect, however, is that despite these losses, a Mike Scioscia coached and Scott General Managed team will still be more competitive.
#10 Arizona Diamondbacks (127 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #25
2009 Season Record: 70-92
Notable Acquisitions: Lance Berkman, Bobby Abreu, Alphonso Soriano, Jermaine Dye, Jim Thome, Francisco Liriano, Justin Duscherer
In 2009 the Arizona Diamondbacks looked like a team that could hang around with the rest in the West.
But ultimately, they were not much of a factor in the NL West at all. They finished 25 games behind the first-place Dodgers and weren't very good on offense.
Offensively, the Diamondbacks were led by Justin Upton (.300/.366/.532, 26 HR, 86 RBI), Mark Reynolds (.260/.349/.543, 44 HR, 102 RBI), and Miguel Montero (.294/.355/.478, 16 HR, 59 RBI).
As a team, Arizona hit .253/.324/.418, scored 720 runs, and swiped 102 bases (sixth in NL). Simple addition: Add to an already potent lineup; Berkman, Abreu, Soriano, Dye and Thome and if Mark Reynolds and Justin Upton continue their solid hitting, Arizona should blow the doors off offensively. They will rival the N.L.’s best lineups including the Phillies.
Although 2009 was a bit of a setback for the pitching staff, 2010 seems far more promising. With Dan Haren (14-10, 3.14 ERA) leading a rotation that includes Brandon Webb, Edwin Jackson (13-9, 3.62 ERA), Francisco Liriano and Justin Ducsherer, the D-backs should be a better team in 2010. They will fight both the returning division champs, the steady Dodgers and a revamped Padres team. I expect they will finish between the second two with a close game or 2 being the difference.
#11 San Diego Padres (126 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #23
2009 Season Record: 75-87
Notable Acquisitions: Placido Polanco, Nick Swisher, Jose Lopez, Ian Kinsler, Adam Jones, David Eckstein, Randy Winn, Kevin Slowey, Scott Kazmir, Chris Tillman and Joakim Soria
The San Diego Padres in 2009 were absolutely terrible on offense.
In 2009 the Padres were led offensively by Adrian Gonzalez (.277/.407/.551, 40 HR, 99 RBI), Kevin Kouzmanoff (.255/.302/.420, 18 HR, 88 RBI), and Chase Headley (.262/.342/.392). As a team, the Padres hit a horrid .242/.321/.381. They were outscored by opponents 638 to 769, resulting in a -131 run differential. However with the additions of Placido Polanco, Nick Swisher, Jose Lopez, Ian Kinsler, Adam Jones, David Eckstein and Randy Winn that will change dramatically.
Pitching in 2009 was slightly better for the Padres, who had the 10th best ERA in the NL at 4.37. Now that Jake Peavy is a member of the White Sox, Scott Kazmir will anchor the rotation which I predict will be the best in the West. The bullpen is headed by Joakim Soria and the setup guy Heath Bell, was 6-4 with a 2.71 ERA and 42 saves as a closer last year. This bullpen will rival that of the Dodgers and might even be better
And considering that the Padres finished 18-11 in their final 29 games, they should be able to win plenty of games heading into the 2010 season. How much they improve depends on how the offense performs early in the season.
My prediction is that they are in the division race up until the last week or days.
#12 St Louis Cardinals (125Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #4
2009 Season Record: 91-71
Notable Acquisitions: Josh Hamilton, Brian Bruney and C.J. Wilson
Will the loss of Matt Holliday do serious damage? Well I will answer the question with another question. Which Josh Hamilton will be rostered this year? Back and productive? Yeah, probably. But that doesn't change the fact that the Cardinals will go into 2010 with some weak positions and will have to rely on some bad players having some hot streaks.
With Adam Wainwright and Chris Carpenter the Cardinals have one of the best 1-2 punches in the big leagues. In fact, I'd put them pretty close to the top of the list of best duos.
Another good 1-2 punch came in the form of Albert Pujols and Matt Holliday. When Matt Holliday arrived in St. Louis last July, the team really took off. Now that Holliday is gone we could see a return to the 2009 pre-Holliday Cardinals.
The Cardinals have a legitimate shot at a championship, with a much improved bullpen and especially if Carpenter stays healthy and Pujols has another typical monster-like season.
#13 Florida Marlins (107 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #16
2009 Season Record: 87-75
Notable Acquisitions: Adam Dunn
The Florida Marlins were ranked No. 16 but do have the potential to move up in the rankings a spot or 2 if their pitching can improve just a little more.
Make no mistake, if they had some money to work with, they'd own the NL East. They finished just six games behind the NL Champion Philadelphia Phillies.
Florida was a top five offensive team in the NL last season, as they hit .268/.340/.416 and scored 772 runs. Hanley Ramirez led the team with a .342 batting average and 106 RBI. Ramirez is one of the most exciting players to watch and is highly talented at the young age of 26.
Florida's pitching staff wasn't too bad, either. On the year the staff managed to maintain a 4.29 ERA. Josh Johnson, the team's ace, finished 2009 with a 15-5 record and a 3.23 ERA. If the Marlins can upgrade their pitching staff just a bit or improve upon last season, they could have a shot this year.
My guess the youth of Cameron Maybin and company make this a better team this year than last.
#14 Texas Rangers (106 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #12
2009 Season Record: 87-75
Notable Acquisitions: Mat Latos and Colby Rasmus
Texas was quite the surprise last season. They finished 87-75 and were in contention for awhile, but ultimately fell apart the last month of the season. But with their recent moves, Texas is closing the gap between themselves and the Angels.
Adding Rich Harden, who had an off year and Mat Latos (replaces Scott Feldman), really helps the team's rotation. Historically known for the past decade or so for their offense, in 2009 the pitching staff managed to maintain an ERA of 4.38. With a rotation that includes Latos, Harden, Holland, Hunter and McCarthy, the Rangers are positioning themselves to challenge for a wild card. One possible problem could be Latos who saw the 3rd biggest increase in innings pitched from the prior season. Adding to many innings early in a pitchers career has historically caused setbacks. Fantastic bullpen to boot but somehow the Rangers have become a team carried by its pitching? Anyone imagine that the pitching in Texas would be bailing out the offense?
And with the losses of Josh Hamilton, Michael Young and Ian Kinsler the rest of the Rangers offense will need to constantly be hitting their strides, even with the addition of Colby Rasmus the Rangers offense will wind up being the reason why the Rangers don’t finish ahead of Seattle or Los Angeles in the AL West in 2010.
2010 Season Record: 83-79
#15 Chicago White Sox (104 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #13
2009 Season Record: 79-83
Notable Acquisitions: Matt Cain, Curtis Granderson
The White Sox finished 7.5 games behind the division champion Minnesota Twins, but they should finish ahead this season. This finish is because of a decline suffered by the Twins.
The White Sox have been particularly busy this offseason, as they've added underrated Juan Pierre, Mark Teahan and Andruw Jones in the hopes of improving their lack-luster offensive attack. This along with Curtis Granderson bodes well for the offense. They will have to lock up a more reliable catcher.
Last season the ChiSox hit .258/.329/.411 and managed to score 724 runs. Sadly, they were outscored by their opponents, 724 to 732, resulting in a -8 run differential. This year the offense won’t be too much better, but should improve slightly.
One bright spot for the ChiSox was their very solid pitching staff. Jake Peavy, who arrived last season via trade and helped lead a staff that had a 4.14 ERA. This year’s rotation includes Matt
Cain, Mark Buehrle, Gavin Floyd, John Danks and Freddy Garcia. Now Peavy has packed his bags along with Daniel Hudson. This should be okay because the staff can close ranks anchored by Matt Cain.
Looking ahead, I'd say that the Chicago White Sox will pass the Twins beginning this year. They will play much like last season, but they will also be in a weakened division.
#16 Toronto Blue Jays (103 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #24
2009 Season Record: 75-87
Notable Acquisitions: Madison Bumgarner, Scott Feldman, Asdrubal Cabrera, Hong Chih-Kuo, Franklin, Michael Young, Pablo Sandoval
The Toronto Blue Jays in 2009 were a disappointment considering they regressed from the 86-76 2008 campaign.
With Roy Halladay long gone, the Blue Jays really don't stand a chance in the powerhouse that is the AL East. At least not until their young talent matures into something big. Bear in mind they are far from pitching poor and could compete if they get off to a good start. The second half should see the benefit of added pitchers Madison Bumgarner, Scott Feldman and Hong-Chih-Kuo.
The Blue Jays have the hitting, because in 2009 they hit .266/.333/.440 and scored 798 runs. They were led by Adam Lind (.305/.370/.562, 35 HR, 114 RBI) and Aaron Hill (.286/.330/.499, 36 HR, 108 RBI). Hill has since been traded but the additions of Pablo Sandoval, Asdrubal Cabrera and Michael Young only solidify the future of their offensive presence.
Is there talent on the way? Yes. But until it arrives, Toronto and its fans are going to have to endure a year or 2 of waiting until they're back in contention again. However it is fair to expect some improvement and an overall better record this season.
#17 Tampa Bay Rays (101 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #17
2009 Season Record: 84-78
Notable Acquisitions: Brian McCann, Shin Soo Choo,
It's not fun being in the AL East. The Rays finished 19 games behind the Yankees in 2009 and failed to reach the postseason a year after their remarkable 2008 season.
With the Red Sox and Yankees only getting stronger, I don't see the Rays finishing atop the AL East. I do see, however, a team that is young and highly competitive.
The Rays as a team hit .263/.343/.439 and scored 803 runs (fifth in AL) last season. So it's no secret that they can hit the ball pretty well. On the pitching side of things, a rotation led by James Shields had a 4.33 ERA and held opponents to a .257 batting average.
If Shields can rebound from a mediocre 2009 campaign, and both Price and the newest member Stephen Strasburg put up quality innings with steady improvement then the Rays have a shot at remaining in contention. This is a must especially with the losses of Garza and Wade Davis. This team is good, make no mistake, but if they were in any other division, they'd be really good.
#18 Detroit Tigers (100 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #14
2009 Season Record: 86-77
Notable Acquisitions: Delmon Young, Kelly Johnson, John Lackey, Aroldis Chapman
Hello, Tigers fans. I have to say with some of the moves the White Sox have been making, you're the obvious beneficiary..
Not to say that the Tigers won't hit numerous bumps, because in the Central anything is possible, I just don't see them finishing first or right behind of Chicago.
The Tigers offense in 2009 wasn't that good—they managed to hit .260/.331/.416 and score 743 runs. Losing Curtis Granderson doesn't help their cause, either. The Tigers don't have as "potent" an offense as some seem to think.
The Tigers' strength comes in their pretty good pitching staff that includes Lackey, Porcello, Scherzer, Chapman (still TBD) and Bonderman. The team's ERA was fifth best in the AL at 4.29 and with Porcello looking like a young stud, the Tigers should have a pretty strong rotation in 2010.
Sure, they may not have that "potent" offense everybody thinks they do, but they've got pitching. Will it be enough? Will they manufacture a closer for their excellent bullpen? Who knows? One thing is for sure: in the AL Central, anything is possible.
#19 Baltimore Orioles (99 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #27
2009 Season Record: 64-98
Notable Acquisitions: Adam Laroche, Aubrey Huff, Adrian Gonzales
The Baltimore Orioles rank No. 27 for a reason: they had the worst pitching in the American League in 2009.
Sorry Orioles fans, but the birds really didn't do much last year.
The Orioles were led offensively by the likes of Adam Jones (.277/.335/.457, 19 HR, 70 RBI), Nick Markakis (.293/.347/.453, 18 HR, 101 RBI), Luke Scott (.258/.340/.488, 25 HR, 77 RBI), and Brian Roberts (.283/.356/.451, 16 HR, 79 RBI). As a team they hit .268/.332/.415 and scored 741 runs. As a result of being in the AL East, they had a -135 run differential. Now in 2010’ the O’s are betting that the likes of Adrian Gonzales and a few FAs, they usually stay away from, like Aubrey Huff will do the job. Well it’s more than a good bet and so expect a lot more runs than last year. It’s a fact that runs equals wins if the pitching holds up.
The Orioles pitching staff was horrific, as they gave up 876 runs and saw their ERA swell up to 5.15. In 2009 opponents hit .288 against the Orioles, which was the highest opponent BAA in the AL.
This offseason, the Orioles added veteran Kevin Millwood in the hopes that he could provide some stability in a horrible rotation. The Orioles also added veteran Derek Lowe, who could help the team greatly. Somehow the Orioles got older and it’s questionable if they will improve. Millwood has been inconsistent over his career. He gives innings and last year was great but you have to ask will the real Kevin Millwood stand up. Derek Lowe on the other hand is nothing if not consistent, however age may begin to play a factor. The opposite is how well will Brian Matusz pitch. He could be the ace by the all star break. Count on better pitching in 2010 and get set for 11’ and beyond as the farm system has lots of dynamic arms.
Orioles fans can look forward to 2010 and beyond while seeing more of the potential of superstar catcher Matt Wieters' during his first full season. Wieters has great power potential that could make him one of the best catchers in the game.
#20 Minnesota Twins (98 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #10
2009 Season Record: 87-76
Notable Acquisitions: JJ Hardy and Ian Kennedy
The Twins continued last year to be dangerous in the very competitive AL Central. It seems like every season that the Twins, Tigers, and White Sox are vying for the division crown and bragging rights.
But it was Minnesota that clinched the division last season but now are a long shot of repeating as division champs.
The Twins as a team had a .274/.345/.429 offensive season. They also finished fourth in the AL for runs scored with 817.
So, by simply looking at these numbers compared to their pitching statistics, one could say that Minnesota relies heavily on its offense.
Pitching was a bit of a problem for Minnesota last season as they had a team ERA of 4.50. Opponents also hit .278 against them. So, in order for Minnesota to repeat as division champs, the pitching staff will need to pick it up. The biggest reason the pitching will fall short is the departures of Kevin Slowey, Francisco Liriano and Joe Nathan. Ian Kennedy and a cast of young pitchers will do their best to win.
Could some big trades be in the works for Minnesota? Or are they going the way of youth. Overall they should decline slightly from the success of the past few years.
#21 Cincinnati Reds (98 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #20
2009 Season Record: 78-84
The Cincinnati Reds come into 2010 off a season where they won 78 games despite their performance on the mound.
The Reds' rotation, which includes Aaron Harang (6-14, 4.18 ERA), Edison Volquez (4-2, 4.35 ERA), Bronson Arroyo (15-13, 3.84 ERA), Johnny Cueto (11-11, 4.41), and youngster Homer Bailey (8-5, 4.53), disappointed in 2009.
Volquez, who just a year before won 17 games and had 3.21 ERA, was limited by an elbow injury. If Volquez can return close to his 2008 self, the Reds could see brighter days.
If Homer Bailey matures a bit more and reaches his potential, the Reds could make some noise and might turn in a respectable effort. The loss of 15 game winner Bronson Arroyo only hastens the burden of improvement needed by the youngster.
Despite the loss of Arroyo I predict the Reds' rotation will be solidified.
On offense, the Reds were led by Joey Votto, Brandon Phillips and gold-glover, Scott Rolen.
Votto hit .322/.414/.567 with 25 HR and 84 RBI for the year. Phillips hit .276/.329/.447 and 20 HR along with 98 RBI. Rolen, who's known for his defensive prowess, hit .305/.368/.455 with 11 HR and 67 RBI.
Collectively as a team, however, the Reds hit .247/.318/.394 and managed to swipe 98 bases. As a team, they ranked 15th in BAA, 10th in OPS and 13th in SLG.
If the Reds hope to improve in 2010, their entire team has to step it up a notch or two. The pitching has to come together, and the offense needs to hit the ball better.
#22 Washington Nationals (93 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #30
2009 Season Record: 59-103
Notable Acquisitions: Yadier Molina, Emilio Bonifacio, Erick Aybar, Freddy Sanchez, Ervin Santana, Gerardo Parra, Raul Ibanez, Brad Lidge, Jose Valverde, Gerald Laird, Mark Derosa
Well, coming in at No. 30 last year was the Washington Nationals.
They had a season to forget in 2009, as they lost 103 games and finished 34 games out of first place.
Offensively in 2009 the Nationals scored 710 runs and collectively hit .258/.337/.406. They were led by Adam Dunn (.267/.398/.529, 38 HR, 105 RBI) and Ryan Zimmerman (.292/.364/.525, 33 HR, 106 RBI). This year that lineup will improve because of Mark Derosa, Raul Ibanez and some other recent acquisitions.
The Nationals pitching staff can only get better with the acquisition of Ervin Santana and the upcoming future of prospects Luke Hochevar, Wade Davis and Sean West (Best 3 young guns in one rotaion for improving this year). It certainly can't get any worse than it was in 2009. The Nationals had the worst pitching in the NL with an ERA of 5.00 and an opponent OPS of .802. Wade Davis and Ervin Santana immediately improve the staff in a gigantic way. Blue chip young pitchers like Sean West and Luke Hochevar could make this a rotation to be reckoned with.
The Nationals will be headed for a good season in 2010 and will be better than the 59-win team they were last season. With one of the best farm systems in the league the future is bright.
#23 Oakland Athletics (92 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #21
2009 Season Record: 75-87
Notable Acquisitions: Travis Hafner, Bengie Molina
I fully believe that this team has a bright future. Oakland is slowly becoming more aggressive on the basepaths and are stockpiling highly-regarded talent.
Oakland's 2009 season was one to forget, as the additions of Matt Holliday, Jason Giambi, Orlando Cabrera and Nomar Garciaparra were mostly flops. The A's learned their lesson and have now moved on to greener pastures.
The A's young pitching staff had its ups and downs, but in 2009, two guys emerged as potential stars—AL Rookie of the Year Andrew Bailey (1.84 ERA, 26 Saves) and ROY candidate Brett Anderson (4.04 ERA, 11 wins). However it’s not meant to marginalize the great pitching talent on the rise. Watch out for improvements from Trevor Cahill, Gio Gonzalez, Vin Mazzaro and Josh Outman. In addition much like last year you can expect a top shelf relief corp.
The A's recently lost Matt Holiday and Jack Cust so any improvements from the pitching having a year under their built, will probably be negated by a pedestrian offense. Of course they can run some.
The A's pitching staff managed to put together a 4.26 ERA, and as a team the A's batted .262/.328/.397 and scored 759 runs in 2009.
Oakland's aggressive second half led to their stealing 133 bases, which was good for fourth most in the American League. However some of the speed has also gravitated elsewhere.
Although the A's lack big-time power right now, they've got talented young studs waiting in the wings.
The A's biggest strength heading into the 2010 season is their bullpen. It's led by Bailey, followed by Michael Wuertz, Joey Devine, Brad Ziegler, and Henry Rodriguez who will improve the spot vacated by Craig Breslow.
The A's may not be in contention for the AL West Division crown in 2010, but as soon as their big-time hitters reach the majors, watch out. The A's have a very bright future ahead of them.
#24 Cleveland Indians (91 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #26
2009 Season Record: 65-97
Notable Acquisitions: Matt Garza, Pat Burrell, Jorge Posada, Roy Halladay, Javier Vasquez, Phil Coke
2009 wasn't pretty for Indians' fans, as they saw their team lose 97 games and get outscored by opponents 773 to 865.
The Indians' offense wasn't too bad in 2009, as they were pretty much right in the middle of most offensive statistics. As a team they hit .264/.339/.417 and scored 773 runs (eighth in AL). They were led by Shin-Soo Choo (.300/.394/.489, 20 HR, 86 RBI), Grady Sizemore (.248/.343/.445, 18 HR, 64 RBI), and Travis Hafner (.272/.355/.470, 16 HR, 49 RBI). Now all 3 are gone and the Indians hope to fill their shoes with the likes of Jack Cust, Pat Burrell and aging catcher Jorge Posada. Cust is a career HR guy who strikes out a ton and is very unproductive for his 25-30 HRs he hits each year, Pat Burrell did not take off as expected with the Rays. There are question marks about the hitting. Will it be as good as last year? No not a chance.
Pitching in Cleveland for the 2009 season was downright hideous. The team's ERA was 5.06 (13th in AL) and opponents hit .280 (13th in AL) against them.
But that was 2009. This is 2010, and Cleveland, under new manager Manny Acta, would like to move on.
The Indians in 2010 will sport a much improved rotation that includes Roy Halladay, Javier Vasquez, Matt Garza and then several players who can pitch in the 4 and 5 spots that includes David Huff, Aaron Laffey, Fausto Carmona, and Anthony Reyes. If the Indians are to rise in the standings this season, they've got to win it with pitching. In their favor they are in a division often won by pitching. Their new 1-2-3 SPs could rival anyone’s.
Perhaps not really in it, the Indians will undoubtedley improve some this year.
#25 Chicago Cubs (90 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #9
2009 Season Record: 83-78
Notable Acquisitions: Jeff Baker (plus the departure of Milton Bradley)
The Cubs were quite the disappointment last season, weren't they?
Looks like last year again. But, with the Cardinals' recent loss of Matt Holliday, can the Cubbies keep up with their Red Bird rivals?
No, it’s too tough of a challenge, even with the Cardinals being a mid 80s win team. A better goal would be to surpass the Pirates and Astros.
In order to compete with St. Louis, Cincinnati and Milwaukee, the Cubs' pitching would have to continue its solid performance (fifth in NL with 3.84 ERA and second in QS with 94) from last year. However it looks like the Cubs are in the rebuild mode especially after losing Harden and Zambrano, Unfortunately the offense cannot step it up a notch or two. There is too much burden for the mix of young players hitting wise. Guys like Tyler Colvin, Sam Fuld and Micah Hoffpauir will perhaps work well down the road but right now there will be some bumps and bruises from the learning process. The same is true for some of the pitching.
The Cubs offense was definitely not worth writing home about last season, but I'm positive that in a couple of years the Cubs will be right there in the mix of things come future playoff time. This is because of a solid farm system and the integration of youth currently.
This might be a difficult year to watch.
#26 Houston Astros (87 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #22
2009 Season Record: 74-88
Notable Acquisitions: Jose Reyes, Kevin Youkilis, Andrew McCutchen, Mike Cameron, Clayton Richard and Jason Marquis
The Astros have a lot of work ahead of them if they have any shot at the postseason.
In 2009, the Astros were led offensively by Lance Berkman, Carlos Lee, Hunter Pence and Miguel Tejada. Berkman hit .274/.399/.509 with 25 HR, Lee hit .300/.343/.489 with 26 HR, Tejada hit .313/.340/.455, and Pence followed suit by hitting .282/.346/.472. However everyone of these players has been sent out of Houston. Granted the incoming players are younger, cheaper and have more long term upside but the next couple of years will be something of an experiment on offense. Gone is the 3 run HR game plan. In its place the Astros are committing to younger and faster players
As a team, the Astros ranked in the bottom of all major offensive categories. They ranked 13th in the NL in OBP. (.319), 11th in SLG. (.400), and 12th in OPS (.719). They did, however, manage to hit .260 as a team (eighth in NL).
Their biggest problems were in the pitching department. Wandy Rodriguez and Roy Oswalt man a rotation that saw its team ERA balloon up to 4.54 (13th in NL), and its opponent's BAA skyrocket to .275 (14th in NL). However the Astros helped themselves in a big way during the off season. The 2 aforementioned pitchers will no longer have to carry a staff. Astros fans let me introduce you to the new pitching rotation. Naturally it will start with Oswalt and Wandy but after that it changes. Here comes Jason Marquis, Clayton Richard, upstart Ryan Rowland-Smith, reclamation project Dontrelle Willis and veterans Andy Pettite and Vicente Padilla.
If the Astros want to stay competitive in 2010, they're going to need to step it up offensively.
2010 will probably end around 70-75 wins but watch out for the future of this club.
#27 Atlanta Braves (85 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #11
2009 Season Record: 86-76
Notable Acquisitions: Mike Gonzalez, Kevin Gregg, Vladimir Guerrero, Milton Bradley, David Wright
In 2009, the Braves were without Tim Hudson for much of the season, but once he returned he solidified a rotation that ended up with the NL's third best team ERA (3.57). Hudson finished the year 2-1 with a 3.61 ERA in 7 starts. So as fate would have it the Braves sent him packing in the first trade of the offseason
Javier Vasquez, a big part of the Braves rotation, is now in New York, the Braves will have trouble competing in the NL East.
Offensively, the Braves outscored opponents 735 to 641, giving them a +94 run differential. The Braves as a team managed to bat .263/.339/.405. And by adding David Wright and Vladimir Guerrero, who are both still powerful hitters when healthy, they should resemble last year’s offensive production; Brian McCann will be sorely missed.
Now for the pitching: The Braves made a series of unusual trades and Free Agent signings. They were able to improve their bullpen by adding 2 former closers in Mike Gonzalez and Kevin Gregg. However there are rumors circulating that these additions were signed for the purpose of trading. Who knows maybe packaged up to acquire a SP of a higher caliber. The Starting Pitching became less dynamic with the losses of Tim Hudson, Javier Vasquez and Jaierr Jurrjens. In their place the Braves have gotten younger. The best they can hope for barring a trade is that Tommy Hanson clones himself twice.
All kidding aside the same or better hitting can be expected from these Braves this year. The pitching will come undoubtbly with a lot of growing pains. Perhaps the future will be more meaningful.
Even though they finished seven games behind the Phillies and one game behind Florida, I see the Braves finishing at the middle to bottom of the NL East. While this Division has improved overall I think 80 wins is ambitious from Atlanta in 2010.
#28 Kansas City Royals (78 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #28
2009 Season Record: 65-97
Notable Acquisitions: Jesus Flores, Chase Headly, Miguel Tejada, Matt Holiday, Craig Counsell, Jason Vargas
In 2009 the Kansas City Royals had one bright spot—Zach Greinke.
Greinke won the 2009 AL Cy Young Award, with his 16-8 record and 2.16 ERA.
Heading into 2010, the Royals had some problems to address. In 2009 they hit .259 (12th in AL) and were ranked 13th in OBP. with .318, 12th in SLG. with .405 and last in OPS. with .724.
Offensively they were led by Billy Butler (.301/.362/.492, 21 HR, 71 RBI), David DeJesus (.281/.347/.434, 71 RBI), Miguel Olvio (.249/.292/.490, 23 HR, 65 RBI), and Mike Jacobs (.228/.297/.401). With Alex Gordon still maturing, it seemed the Royals had to settle with their anemic offense until someone revamped it or breathed some life into it. Well, we are seeing both happening. The additions of Tejada and Matt Holliday will revamp this lineup and the natural progression of Billy Butler should also breathe much needed life into the lineup. Only time will tell if A-Gord was too valuable to trade or if as it appears right now a brilliant trade was made by dealing him, possibly a lopsided trade in favor of the Royals.
Aside from Greinke, the Royals didn't have a stellar rotation. The team ERA was 4.83 (12th in AL), and opponents hit them hard with a .269 BAA (9th in AL). In 2010, the Royals would like Greinke, Brian Bannister, Luke Hochevar, Kyle Davies, and Robinson Tejada to improve things as a whole. Expect the same pitching challenges. The Royals replaced young pitching prospects like Hochevar with Shawn Marcum and Jason Vargas. I believe this will be a complete wash.
The Royals should show some mild improvement this year but temper your expectations.
#29 Pittsburgh Pirates (74 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #29
2009 Season Record: 62-99
Notable Acquisitions: Carlos Ruiz, Hunter Pence, Scott Podsednick, Kosuke Fukudome, Ryan Dempster, Joel Hanrahan and Kerry Woods
The Pittsburgh Pirates had one of the most miserable seasons in 2009, and for that I offer my condolences to all Pirates fans.
As a team, the Pirates hit .252/.318/.387 and scored only 636 runs. Led by Andy LeRoche (.258/.330/.401, 12 HR, 64 RBI) and Garret Jones (.293/.372/.567, 21 HR, 44 RBI), this band of cheap, affordable players managed to win only 62 games all season long. The lineup has improved and is more consistent throughout.
Pittsburgh's pitching was downright atrocious in 2009. The team ERA was 14th in the NL at 4.59, and opponents hit .276 against them. In the end, Pittsburgh was outscored by its' opponents, 636 to 768, resulting in a -132 run differential—ouch. You can expect about the same in 2010
The Pirates have a solid opportunity to improve overall by as much as 10 games from last year’s win/loss record.
#30 San Francisco Giants (69 Pts)
December 12, 2009 previous RANK: #15
2009 Season Record: 88-74
Notable Acquisitions: Aaron Hill, Robinson Cano, Phil Hughes, Alexi Ramirez, Daniel Hudson, Brian Fuentes, Adrian Beltre and John Buck
The Giants had the pitching. We all knew that. With the reigning NL Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum along with Matt Cain and former Cy Young winner Barry Zito heading the rotation, all the Giants would need now is some offense.
In 2009, the Giants boasted a team ERA of 3.55 and held their opponents to a low .236 batting average. The only problem, however, is the fact that the Giants only hit .257/.309/.389 themselves and scored only 657 runs.
It appears by all accounts that the Giants are rebuilding, at least with regard to their pitching. They gave up the triumvirate of Lincy, Cain and Bumgarner and traded them away.
The offense is an entirely different story. Although they lost their best hitter in Sandoval and their cleanup catcher Molina they took in a haul of young hitters. Of course the Giants get a boost from the addition of Aaron Hill, Robinson Cano, Alexi Ramirez, John Buck and Adrian Beltre. Still they need another bat or two in order to compete with middle of the pack teams..
Even if the Giants get another bat, they won’t keep pace with most of the NL Teams. They definitely lost the pitching edge —they have to concentrate on some offense.
Where is Barry Bonds? Even at this age he might have the most power on this team. Gotta love Bonds getting blackballed and continuously prosecuted despite more acquittals than John Gotti. Perhaps he will be allowed to at least introduce Palmeiro, McGwire and Clemens at their HOF inductions. Are the Giants cursed until the asterisks are removed or added to others? It’s not a goat but it has horns.
