2018 Power Rankings

[Rockies GM (Dan)]

It was requested of me on Slack that I post the power rankings that go into the creation of the playoff odds. Here they are.

Methodology

I download all the roster csv files off of Fantrax, parse them with my program, and match the players with their FanGraphs Depth Chart predictions. The DC projections takes projected playing time into account. Again, projections are not the greatest at projecting rookies and younger breakout players, so there are some things this can't take into account. I've found there's a decent correlation between AB/week and the percentage of the total R, HR, RBI and SB counted, similarly, there's a correlation between IP/week and W, K, and Holds (different equations for each stat). AVG, OPS, ERA and WHIP are determined by playing time of the individual players and then putting it into a team context. I then take all the expected stats and rank them according to Fantrax's system.

Is it a perfect system? No. Am I open to updating it with suggestions? Of course.

Anyway, without further ado:

Projected Hitting Stats

Team	xR	xHR	xRBI	xSB	xAVG	xOPS
Arizona Diamondbacks	457	138	492	60	.252	.751
Atlanta Braves	452	131	475	53	.263	.766
Baltimore Orioles	450	120	472	35	.266	.764
Boston Red Sox	572	168	623	47	.257	.748
Chicago Cubs	546	138	541	84	.257	.753
Chicago White Sox	708	209	735	64	.257	.778
Cincinnati Reds	545	164	572	41	.253	.755
Cleveland Indians	622	178	658	92	.260	.759
Colorado Rockies	792	248	861	106	.270	.822
Detroit Tigers	692	193	689	115	.262	.772
Houston Astros	593	134	564	71	.261	.757
Kansas City Royals	537	141	562	97	.269	.767
Los Angeles Angels	560	134	538	78	.261	.748
Los Angeles Dodgers	352	111	376	30	0*	0*
Miami Marlins	411	112	442	28	.256	.741
Milwaukee Brewers	659	197	679	69	.254	.762
Minnesota Twins	678	161	650	103	.262	.753
New York Mets	498	141	508	81	.266	.778
New York Yankees	415	104	437	40	.266	.759
Oakland Athletics	624	170	668	68	.271	.771
Philadelphia Phillies	631	179	643	81	.259	.765
Pittsburgh Pirates	758	220	811	83	.259	.758
San Diego Padres	658	196	714	70	.259	.745
San Francisco Giants	714	177	662	157	.268	.774
Seattle Mariners	443	103	421	79	.254	.723
St. Louis Cardinals	436	101	429	50	.265	.748
Tampa Bay Rays	695	185	664	102	.259	.763
Texas Rangers	516	167	570	35	.250	.744
Toronto Blue Jays	664	212	698	84	.271	.822
Washington Nationals	706	186	711	92	.261	.757

Projected Pitching Stats

Team	xW	xSV	xHLD	xK	xERA	xWHIP
Arizona Diamondbacks	41	1	49	705	10*	10*
Atlanta Braves	39	10	62	660	10*	10*
Baltimore Orioles	88	37	49	1320	4.369	1.356
Boston Red Sox	29	3	40	431	10*	10*
Chicago Cubs	71	75	109	1191	4.08	1.34
Chicago White Sox	84	18	109	1387	4.049	1.312
Cincinnati Reds	64	16	29	1046	4.303	1.370
Cleveland Indians	85	67	37	1408	3.912	1.259
Colorado Rockies	94	95	77	1477	4.149	1.350
Detroit Tigers	71	4	55	1018	4.434	1.361
Houston Astros	77	146	148	1230	4.164	1.363
Kansas City Royals	80	67	39	1255	3.748	1.240
Los Angeles Angels	61	31	58	886	4.209	1.314
Los Angeles Dodgers	70	0	0	978	4.375	1.359
Miami Marlins	57	21	68	858	4.289	1.307
Milwaukee Brewers	92	44	71	1307	4.165	1.340
Minnesota Twins	64	3	49	979	4.313	1.351
New York Mets	88	11	78	1363	4.215	1.320
New York Yankees	59	4	19	957	4.237	1.315
Oakland Athletics	69	71	71	1017	4.227	1.310
Philadelphia Phillies	82	71	67	1368	4.312	1.325
Pittsburgh Pirates	81	29	74	1306	4.009	1.304
San Diego Padres	90	67	55	1342	3.829	1.285
San Francisco Giants	112	30	72	1711	4.104	1.323
Seattle Mariners	37	0	1	605	10*	10*
St. Louis Cardinals	48	19	75	687	4.248	1.347
Tampa Bay Rays	67	56	82	1101	4.333	1.346
Texas Rangers	79	13	64	1244	4.527	1.384
Toronto Blue Jays	89	71	38	1442	3.643	1.212
Washington Nationals	88	96	63	1440	3.628	1.251

* - Not projected to meet weekly quotas regularly

Power Rankings

Team	Hitting	Pitching	Overall
Colorado Rockies	175.5	144	319.5
Toronto Blue Jays	155.5	144	299.5
San Francisco Giants	149	138	287
Washington Nationals	129	154	283
Chicago White Sox	129.5	132.5	262
Pittsburgh Pirates	134.5	126	260.5
San Diego Padres	103.5	136.5	240
Cleveland Indians	111	128	239
Kansas City Royals	110.5	122	232.5
Oakland Athletics	123.5	107.5	231
Milwaukee Brewers	106.5	122	228.5
Philadelphia Phillies	109	115	224
Tampa Bay Rays	125.5	95	220.5
New York Mets	100.5	118	218.5
Detroit Tigers	145.5	59.5	205
Houston Astros	83	119	202
Chicago Cubs	75.5	123.5	199
Minnesota Twins	112	55	167
Los Angeles Angels	72.5	85	157.5
Baltimore Orioles	65.5	91	156.5
Texas Rangers	49.5	71	120.5
Cincinnati Reds	64	55.5	119.5
St. Louis Cardinals	45	73	118
New York Yankees	55.5	59.5	115
Atlanta Braves	73	34	107
Miami Marlins	23	82	105
Boston Red Sox	71	19.5	90.5
Arizona Diamondbacks	48.5	27	75.5
Los Angeles Dodgers	10	40.5	50.5
Seattle Mariners	33.5	12.5	46