Season Preview Over/Under Board

[Former Twins GM (Robin)]

For those who are curious, here's the spreadsheet we made...

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1z11Y9ZA4g7d-yVKVwsYmNf4NoQF2R_wyf-3AoXJdSxI/edit?usp=sharing

[Rockies GM (Dan)]

Readying my predictions for the week, and I thought it would be fun to throw in an extra algorithm to figure out who is going to win this bet. Here's the results:

-- NL West --

Hollar wins: 56.818%; Rob wins: 35.068%;
Hollar wins an average of: $14.10712
Rob wins an average of: $13.265

-- NL Central --

Hollar wins: 25.681%; Rob wins: 74.319%;
Hollar wins an average of: $7.98029
Rob wins an average of: $16.09647

-- NL East --

Hollar wins: 3.171%; Rob wins: 95.91%;
Hollar wins an average of: $2.34767
Rob wins an average of: $16.2564

-- AL West --

Hollar wins: 38.635%; Rob wins: 61.365%;
Hollar wins an average of: $16.40584
Rob wins an average of: $17.62194

-- AL Central --

Hollar wins: 85.816%; Rob wins: 14.184%;
Hollar wins an average of: $12.761
Rob wins an average of: $4.26616

-- AL East --
Hollar wins: 10.468%; Rob wins: 89.532%;
Hollar wins an average of: $4.78301
Rob wins an average of: $12.69698

Overall

Hollar wins: 15.297%
Rob wins: 83.635%
They tie: 1.068%

[Pirates GM (Hollar)]

TL;DR - As per usual, maybe you shouldn't listen to me.

[Former Twins GM (Robin)]

Either way, there will be beer. ☺️

[Marlins GM (Mike J)]

Marlins now have 3 wins. Season projections were 3.68, so 1 more win and I exceed Dan, Hollar, and Rob's projections :-D or I go on an extremely embarrassing losing streak the rest of the season...

[Rockies GM (Dan)]

I'm still keeping tabs on these. If there is an abnormally large amount of correct guesses by either of you, it could show some unconscious bias I baked into the algorithm. So far, on average, regardless of money, Hollar gets about 13 teams correct, whereas Rob gets 16, which is probably about where it should be.

This may be a fun and enlightening test for me next year - to do a month-long (30 teams in 30 days) analysis of each team, and let people vote on over/under. If the majority of people guess greater than 60% of the teams correctly, I'd have to reassess how stats are accumulated.